I'd like to see ROL do well, as in many ways I think their product is more polished than ROOL's version. But I fear that their famously bad marketing and prickly attitude to criticism has put a lot of people off. ROOL (and especially Jeffrey Lee's OMAP port) have generated a buzz. That's the most important thing. No one seriously believes that either branch of RISC OS has all the features most users need or want. But at least there's a sense that ROOL has a plan. If ROL wants to compete effectively, I think they need to articulate a vision for their product and get people enthusiastic about it. I'm sure this is possible (open source is not for everyone), but it'll take a lot of work.